Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Aerospace Research Institute, Ministry of Science, Research and Technology, Tehran, Iran

2 Assistant Professor, Aerospace Research Institute, Ministry of Science, Research and Technology, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to present the cost estimation model for Cryogenic/Semi-Crogenic space propulsion systems. Therefore, the space propulsion system selection from fuel and oxidizer type aspect and achieving the maximum performance and minimum cost has been performed. Then, the fuel and oxidizer pair samples based on the mass – energy specifications (engine weight- specific impulse) and engine operation cycle type with respect to the mission possibility has been determined. To this end, the algorithm for implementing and using the proposed cost estimation model has been designed. In this algorithm, the proposed cost estimation model is developed based on the existing cost estimation relationship and verified by comparing the existing models. Finally, the outputs in the algorithm are cost-performance (specific impulse) graph for the seven fuels and oxidizer pairwise, engine selection based on achieving maximum specific impulse and providing the design space searches for the cost and time optimization in the space projects.

Keywords

Main Subjects

  1. P. Wright,. "Factors affecting the cost of airplanes." Journal of the aeronautical sciences, vol. 3, no. 4, pp.122-128, 1936
  2. Novick,. "Beginning of military cost analysis 1950–1961", National Estimating Society Journal, vol. 9, no. 4, pp.1-14, 1979
  3. Mandell, "Assessment of space shuttle program cost estimating methods," Theisis D.P.A, Institute: University of Colorado at Denver, 1984.
  4. Novick D. "Weapon System Cost Analysis" RAND CORP Santa Monica CA, January 24, 1956.
  5. "Space Planners Guide," U.S. Air Force, Air Force Systems Command, July 1965.
  6. T. Hoban, ed., Readings in program control(Vol. 6103). National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Scientific and Technical Information office. 1994. 
  7. H. Koelle, Handbook of astronautical engineering, 1961.
  8. E. Koelle,. "The transcost-model for launch vehicle cost estimation and its application to future systems analysis," Acta Astronautica, vol. 11, no. 12, pp.803-817, 1984.
  9. Stampfl, and L. Meyer, "Assessment of existing and future launch vehicle liquid engine development," Acta Astronautica,  vol. 17, no. 1, pp.11-22, 1988
  10. Johenning, and H.H. Koelle, Space transportation simulation model TRASIM 2.0., Technische University Berlin, Germany: ILR Mitt, pp.319.
  11. NASA, Version 4.0 Update Cost estimating Washington, DC, Available: https://www.nasa.gov/content/cost-estimating-and book, 2008.
  12. Dahlen, and G.S. Bolmsjö, "Life-cycle cost analysis of the labor factor," International Journal of Production Economics, vol. 46-47, pp.459-467,1996.
  13. H. Koelle, and B. Johenning, Space transportation simulation model (TRASIM 2.0), ILR, 1997.
  14. Collins, R. Stockmans, and M. Maita,. Demand for space tourism in America and Japan, and its implications for future space activities. Advances in the astronautical sciences, vol. 91, pp.601-610, 1996.
  15. H. Koelle, Influence of Financing Concepts on Lunar Space Travel Cost, ILR, 2002.
  16. Akin, and T. Herrmann, "A critical parameter optimization of launch vehicle costs," In Space 2005 (pp. 6680) 2005
  17. Bruno, and Accettura, A.G. eds.,  Advanced propulsion systems and technologies, today to 2020, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA), 2008.
  18. Trivailo, M. Sippel, and Y.A. Şekercioğlu, "Review of hardware cost estimation methods, models and tools applied to early phases of space mission planning," Progress in Aerospace Sciences, vol. 53, pp.1-17, 2012.
  19. P. Frank, C.M. Tyl, O.J. Pinon-Fischer, and D.N. Mavris, "New design framework for performance, weight, and life-cycle cost estimation of rocket engines," In 6th European Conference for Aerospace Sciences, 2015.
  20. Naseh, "Space Launch System Family Technology Development Model from Propulsion Aspect With Cost Approach," Vol. 9, No 4, pp. 1-12, 2017 (in Persian).
  21. Naseh, Space Systems (Space Launch System) Modernization Model from Propulsion Systems Approaches, Technical Reports, Aerospace Research Institute (ARI), ARI-94-30-ASG-MMM-1-1, 1394 (in Persian).
  22. N.P. Meibody, H. Naseh, F. Ommi, "Adaptive Surrogate Modeling Algorithm for Meta-model Based Design Optimization," International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Vol. 39, No. 3, 2019.
  23. N.P. Meibody, H. Naseh, F. Ommi, "Progressive Latin Hypercube Sampling-based Robust Design Optimization (PLHS-RDO)," Australian Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2020.
  24. H. Naseh, Conceptual Design of Domestic Optimal Manned Space Launch System Modares Mechanical Engineering, vol. 18, no. 9, pp. 291-301, 2018 (in Persian).